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August 30, 2007

Department of "Huh?"

Eric Hobsbawm, Age of Empire, p. 50:

The world merchant marine, whose growth roughly indicates the expansion of the global economy, had remained more-or-less static between 1860 and 1890. Its size fluctuated between 16 and 20M tons. Between 1890 and 1914 it almost doubled...

But the fleet of 1860 is a sailing fleet. The fleet of 1890 is a steam fleet. What with the changability of the wind, a steamship can sail about three times as fast as a sailing ship. the 20M tons of 1890 had three times the cargo-carrying capacity of the 20M tons of 1860.

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Comments

Interesting point, but doesn't this depend in part on the turnaround time in port? I have no idea offhand how much that would slow a vessel down [it would depend on the cargo] or what impact technological change would have had on that process [Coal and grain might have seen enormous progress; I don't believe package goods saw much before the container revolution]. But I could imagine a net improvement from conversion to steam of significantly less than 3X.

BTW--This project is *fascinating.*

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