Divergence: Once-Rich Twenty-Two

- 1980 as the high point of global income inequality
- Since 1980? Convergence or divergence depends on whether you count countries or people
- China
- India
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Comment Policy: A Seminar, Not a Foodfight
I want this to be a seminar, not a foodfight. So trolling comments get deleted, usually--I don't have time to moderate this properly, but I am trying.
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.J. Bradford DeLong, Professor of Economics at U.C Berkeley, a Research Associate of the NBER, a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and Chair of Berkeley's Political Economy major.
It's the summer. No regular office hours. Emailing delong@econ.berkeley.edu for an appointment also produces good results.
The Seventeen-Year-Old is going to college next year, which means that I need to think about making more money. (The idea that one might write checks to rather than receive checks from universities is now strange to me.) So I have signed up with the Leigh Speakers' Bureau which also handles, among many others: Chris Anderson; Suzanne Berger; Michael Boskin; Kenneth Courtis; Clive Crook; Bill Emmott; Robert H. Frank; William Goetzmann; Douglas J. Holtz-Eakin; Paul Krugman; Bill McKibben; Paul Romer; Jeffrey Sachs; Robert Shiller;James Surowiecki; Martin Wolf; Adrian Wooldridge.
Control Panel Proper:
To be added...
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Divergence in growth while looking at countries, convergence looking att people:
I think this is driven by the same factor at play in the Balassa-Samuelsson currency-exchange rate model: cross country-border labor immobility. With production increasing slightly faster than linearly with capital, the latter has historically tended to effectively increase its productivity through geographical concentration. Urbanization and industrialization has worked together. But where there is a country border over which capital can move freely while labour cannot there is a problem.
If industrial capital is scarce enough its productivity may be too low to compete for labor even against self-employed traditional farming. Capital flows out of Africa - diamonds, oil - wile the people are stuck inside with traditional farming or armed fighting for control over the exportable capital resources.
Posted by: Mats | February 01, 2008 at 02:04 PM