Fun with Graphs...
A few comparative international statistics, attractively presented: Google's Gapminder World 2006, beta.
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A few comparative international statistics, attractively presented: Google's Gapminder World 2006, beta.
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"I now know it is a rising, not a setting, sun" --Benjamin Franklin, 1787
J. Bradford DeLong, Professor of Economics at U.C Berkeley, a Research Associate of the NBER, a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and Chair of Berkeley's Political Economy major.
Among his best works are: "Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?" "Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare," "Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets," "Equipment Investment and Economic Growth," "Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution," "Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?" "Keynesianism, Pennsylvania-Avenue Style," "America's Peacetime Inflation: The 1970s," "American Fiscal Policy in the Shadow of the Great Depression," "Review of Robert Skidelsky (2000), John Maynard Keynes, volume 3, Fighting for Britain," "Between Meltdown and Moral Hazard: Clinton Administration International Monetary and Financial Policy," "Productivity Growth in the 2000s," "Asset Returns and Economic Growth."
The Eighteen-Year-Old is going to college next year, which means that I need to think about making more money. (The idea that one might write checks to rather than receive checks from universities is now strange to me.) So I have signed up with the Leigh Speakers' Bureau which also handles, among many others: Chris Anderson; Suzanne Berger; Michael Boskin; Kenneth Courtis; Clive Crook; Bill Emmott; Robert H. Frank; William Goetzmann; Douglas J. Holtz-Eakin; Paul Krugman; Bill McKibben; Paul Romer; Jeffrey Sachs; Robert Shiller;James Surowiecki; Martin Wolf; Adrian Wooldridge.
I am curious as to whether women who are really wealthy have more children. The graph only goes up to $60,000 a year, so you can't tell. I have two children, but I have had the thought that if I had people to cook and clean and take the kids when I'm tired, I might have liked more. And you wouldn't have to worry about college funds and camp fees, either.
Posted by: Emma Anne | May 31, 2006 at 10:49 AM
Brad, that tool is neat. by coincidence, I was just looking at these:
http://www.math.yorku.ca/SCS/Gallery/images/WorldHealth2001.pdf
ANIMATED! :
http://www.whc.ki.se/index.php
( via Gallery of Data Visualization - The Best and Worst of Statistical Graphics
http://www.math.yorku.ca/SCS/Gallery/excellence.html )
Posted by: Oskar Shapley | May 31, 2006 at 11:31 AM
What's even more interesting is to drag that pointer at the bottom back and forth between 1975 and 2004. in some ways the world changes pretty quickly.
Posted by: Colin Danby | May 31, 2006 at 11:46 AM
So that is really cool and looks terribly powerful.
I wonder how you use it....
Also how one creates a url that lets one create and save and send a particular dataset and animation around.
Posted by: jerry | May 31, 2006 at 01:01 PM
Choose "children per woman", select France and the USA, turn on "trails", run the movie, and see the difference between vigorous America and dying Europe.
Posted by: derek | May 31, 2006 at 02:28 PM
Brad, you forgot to tell us: which is the cause and which is the effect?
Posted by: Bill Conerly | May 31, 2006 at 03:17 PM
Not to shill for my blog, but this post
http://name99.org/blog99/?p=24
explains what gapminder as an organization is all about and points to this talk given at google
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=7996617766640098677
where the guy who runs it explains (*very coherently and well*) what they are doing and how to interpret the results.
Posted by: Maynard Handley | May 31, 2006 at 03:18 PM
"
Choose "children per woman", select France and the USA, turn on "trails", run the movie, and see the difference between vigorous America and dying Europe.
"
Someone needs to watch South Park episode 3.11
http://www.tv.com/south-park/chinpokomon/episode/2458/recap.html
and think a little about its running joke of the "big American penis".
Derek, you do understand that the year is 2006, not 1006, and that intelligent human beings don't measure each other's worth by their "virility"? Or perhaps you'd like to tell us all about how it is actually virile Saudi Arabia (4+ kids per woman) or that great success of the modern world, Niger (almost 8 kids per woman), that are poised to rule the 21st century?
Posted by: Maynard Handley | May 31, 2006 at 03:40 PM
What a great toy. Thanks, Brad, for linking to it.
Posted by: sm | May 31, 2006 at 04:41 PM
Re: Derek et al.
Note that essentially every poor or mid-level country that achieves a fertility of two experiences a rapid gain in per capita income. Fertility is falling almost everywhere, with sub-Saharan Africa the slowest to fall (and most desperately poor).
It also looks to me like the graphs conclusively show that drop in fertility tends to precede economic growth.
Posted by: CapitalistImperialistPig | May 31, 2006 at 06:37 PM
This is a neat way to look at the data.
Posted by: Arun Khanna | May 31, 2006 at 07:15 PM
The mystery of the virile American might be resolved by this graph from Oskar Shapley's post:
http://www.whc.ki.se/index.php
where the US is the big green bubble that trails the cluster of blue Western European bubbles in child survival.
Posted by: ogmb | May 31, 2006 at 09:13 PM
Note that in 1975, China was poorer (per capita) than almost all of sub-Saharan Africa, but it had a much lower fertility. Since then it has grown explosively, while Africa languished. The few exceptions where poor economic development combine with low fertility all seem to be in areas of great political stress.
Posted by: CapitalistImperialistPig | May 31, 2006 at 09:15 PM
Thanks for the link to the explanations Maynard. At this time of night, I think I will use gapminder-lite, at http://zombo.com. Similar bubbles, but easier to understand, and hey, anything is possible at zombo com, and they are very welcoming.
Posted by: jerry | May 31, 2006 at 10:17 PM
Thank you very much, Brad. This was incredible.
Posted by: Barry | June 01, 2006 at 06:51 AM
I would be interested in median income per capita or some other measurement that talked about a person in the middle. my impression is that under Bush the economy has grown but only the top get any of it.
Posted by: marc | June 01, 2006 at 06:53 AM
The Karolinska Institet has had publicly available betas of this product for some years now - it used to be funded by the WHO, not sure where the money comes from these days now.
Whether they begged, bought or stole it, though, its top stuff.
Posted by: derrida derider | June 01, 2006 at 11:09 PM