A Note on "Al Qaeda"
Jim MacDonald:
Making Light: The Latest Iraq Surge: Have y’all noticed that over the last two weeks the word from everyone (Bush, at the Naval War College for example, where everyone in the audience already knew better) is that we’re fighting Al Qaeda in Iraq. Everyone who’s resisting is Al Qaeda. Everyone who’s fighting is Al Qaeda. Everyone who’s killed is Al Qaeda.
What’s with that? They aren’t insurgents any more. Or Sunni fighters, or Shiite militias. or even Baathist dead-enders. All the bad guys are Al Qaeda.
Kinda reminds me of Vietnam:
“How do you know he’s Viet Cong?” “He’s dead, isn’t he?”
Six years after 9/11 this is the only card left in Bush’s hand.
If he’s so hot on Al Qaeda isn’t it time to find Osama bin Forgotten? Y’know, the guy who actually attacked us?
Joe Klein
A Note on Al Qaeda - Swampland - TIME: Several readers have been grumbling about the increased use of "Al Qaeda" to describe the enemy in Iraq. There is, I think, good reason for this usage, but only in the context of the current U.S. offensive. The group in question is actually Al Qaeda in Mesopotamia, what the military calls Al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI), which represents the most dangerous sliver--no more than 5%--of the Sunni insurgency. This is also the group, founded by Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, that is the spine of the so-called Islamic State of Iraq.
In the past, AQI has had a close working relationship with many of the indigenous Sunni insurgency cells.... [I]t has offended the Sunni tribes and the Baathist remnant of the insurgency. As I'll explain in the coming edition of the magazine, AQI has been pretty much kicked out of al-Anbar province because it tried to impose a Taliban-like rule--forced marriages, Sharia etc--on Sunnis mostly pissed off at the U.S. for invading their country and imposing a Shi'ite regime. These more secular elements of the Sunni insurgency have turned on AQI and are providing the U.S. with--for the first time in this war--actionable intelligence. And so, the current nationwide operation, Phantom Thunder, is focused upon this insurgent sliver--the 5% represented by AQI.
There is a belief, which I don't buy, that the rest of the Sunni insurgents will now reconcile with the Shi'ite government....
Meanwhile, the Shi'ites have a lunatic fringe of their own: the Mahdi Army Special Groups.... (As I learned first hand--I found myself underneath a table during dinner as missiles landed nearby on my first night in Iraq--the Mahdi Army Special Groups, not Al Qaeda, are the people shelling the Green Zone most nights, according to military intelligence sources.)
So, bottom line: Others may be painting with a broader, and inaccurate, brush, but when I refer to Al Qaeda in this context, it only means the enemy in the current phase of battle, one particular sliver of the Sunni insurgency. There are other enemies of stability in Iraq, and other battles to come. I remain convinced, as I was before I went to Iraq, that our ability to influence these battles is minimal at best... and that a careful drawdown of troops, starting now, remains our best option.
John Ward Anderson:
Residents Say 17 Killed by U.S. Were Not Insurgents - washingtonpost.com: The U.S. military is investigating the killings of 17 people in a U.S. helicopter attack north of Baghdad a week ago, after residents of the area complained that the victims were not fighters from the group al-Qaeda in Iraq, as the military originally claimed, but members of a village guard force and ordinary citizens.
A U.S. military spokesman, Lt. Col. Christopher C. Garver, said the June 22 incident in Khalis, about 30 miles north of Baghdad, was under investigation "because of discussions with locals who say it didn't happen as we reported it." The attack occurred in the opening days of Operation Arrowhead Ripper, an offensive against al-Qaeda in Iraq that is centered on Baqubah, about 10 miles southeast of Khalis.
A U.S. military statement on the day of the incident called the dead men "al-Qaeda gunmen" and said they were killed after trying to sneak into Khalis.
"Iraqi police were conducting security operations in and around the village when Coalition attack helicopters from the 25th Combat Aviation Brigade and ground forces from 3rd Brigade Combat Team, 1st Cavalry Division, observed more than 15 armed men attempting to circumvent the IPs [Iraqi police] and infiltrate the village," the statement said."The attack helicopters, armed with missiles, engaged and killed 17 al-Qaeda gunmen and destroyed the vehicle they were using," it said.
Garver said townspeople claim "the individuals were not al-Qaeda, but members of the community." He said additional details were not available, pending completion of the investigation.
The investigation came to light after the BBC reported on its Web site that residents of Khalis were "incensed" that the dead men were accused of being members of al-Qaeda in Iraq. Villagers "say that those who died had nothing to do with al-Qaeda. They say they were local village guards trying to protect the township from exactly the kind of attack by insurgents the U.S. military says it foiled," the BBC reported.
McClatchy Washington Bureau | 06/29/2007 | Bush plays al Qaida card to bolster support for Iraq policy: Jonathan S. Landay: WASHINGTON — Facing eroding support for his Iraq policy, even among Republicans, President Bush on Thursday called al Qaida "the main enemy" in Iraq, an assertion rejected by his administration's senior intelligence analysts.
The reference, in a major speech at the Naval War College that referred to al Qaida at least 27 times, seemed calculated to use lingering outrage over the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, to bolster support for the current buildup of U.S. troops in Iraq, despite evidence that sending more troops hasn't reduced the violence or sped Iraqi government action on key issues.
Bush called al Qaida in Iraq the perpetrator of the worst violence racking that country and said it was the same group that had carried out the Sept. 11 attacks in New York and Washington."Al Qaida is the main enemy for Shia, Sunni and Kurds alike," Bush asserted. "Al Qaida's responsible for the most sensational killings in Iraq. They're responsible for the sensational killings on U.S. soil."
U.S. military and intelligence officials, however, say that Iraqis with ties to al Qaida are only a small fraction of the threat to American troops. The group known as al Qaida in Iraq didn't exist before the U.S.-led invasion in 2003, didn't pledge its loyalty to al Qaida leader Osama bin Laden until October 2004 and isn't controlled by bin Laden or his top aides....
"The only way they think they can rally people is by blaming al Qaida," said Vincent Cannistraro, a former chief of the CIA's Counter-Terrorism Center who's critical of the administration's strategy...
Each of us get to choose our own reality. GWB has his own as evidenced by O'Neill and Suskind in yesterday's and now this.
Posted by: ken melvin | June 30, 2007 at 10:41 AM
Juan Cole periodically argues that the core of the Sunni insurgency is run by secular Ba'athist remnants. These are people who might presumably be amenable to some more serious political negotiation and settlement, but even the milder Sunni members of al Maliki's cabinet have now resigned. The "surge" was supposed to bring this reconciliation, but instead we have Bush labeling everybody in sight as "al Qaeda."
Posted by: Barkley Rosser | June 30, 2007 at 12:27 PM
What the warmongers in both parties would prefer Americans not understand is that we are engaged in fighting a war to allow us to keep the Muslim world in colonial subjection. Al Qaida is merely the leading edge of the Muslim liberation movement, but you are not supposed to understand that. They are simply religious "fanatics", wicked for no good reason and have emerged out of nothing, or perhaps, from envy: "hating our freedoms" (what a laugh that is). The Iraq war is an embarrassment not because it was a disgraceful attempt to colonize an unsubdued Muslim nation but because it hasn't been successful. But one can still beat the war drums about al Qaida since almost all Americans have no understanding why it came into existence. Better keep them in darkness. And whip up the fear and hatred. But never never stop trying to whip the Muslim world into docile obedience to our imperial designs.
Posted by: Hal | June 30, 2007 at 02:27 PM
As Joe Klein states, we are at least trying to target the AQI sliver of the insurgents. So there is at least a smidgen of justification for the use of the AlQaeda references. Of course our intelligence, and targeting is not nearly that good, but Bush is hoping that the AlQaeda card will still trump the growing GetOutNow movement.
IMHO we are getting pretty close to a policy tipping point. The next battle will not be about whether to drawdowm, but to drawdown by how much, and how quickly.
Posted by: bigTom | June 30, 2007 at 05:36 PM
Of course we would not need to "target" anybody if we gave up our our determination to subject the Islamic world to our imperium and stopped our support of the despotic regimes there that do our bidding. When the French decided to get out of Algeria, their war was over. All the colonizer has to do is get out.
Posted by: Hal | June 30, 2007 at 11:51 PM
Al Qaeda -- that's the organization headed by Osama bin Saddam, right? The guy whose FBI web page doesn't mention 9/11?
http://www.fbi.gov/wanted/terrorists/terbinladen.htm
Posted by: John H. Morrison | July 01, 2007 at 02:14 AM
bigTom, I disagree--unfortunately. I think the next big battle (within the White House, possibly in Congress) is whether or not the US launches military action against Iran. Or maybe just when. Whether it's not publicized, i.e., airstrikes that "somehow" no one in the media ever reports on--unless/until Iran strikes back, in which case Iran will have attacked US forces in Iraq --without cause. And so provide Bush/Cheney, Inc., with something to go to Congress with which to demand "authorization" for military action --all necessary for our immediate "Homeland security" of course.
I thought it was possible that Sen. Lugar's speech re:the failed, destructive, insane foreign policy of Bush/Cheney, Inc., might've been directed more towards whatever the Bushies have been saying to the GOP in Congress regarding the necessity of putting Iran in its place. Certainly Cheney's been pushing the need for military action against Iran.
If Bin-Laden's still alive, he must be laughing hard--the self-proclaimed only remaining superpower, has to blame a mere organization (not even a nation-state) for its inability to successfully occupy and rebuild a nation that's only about 3 times the size of TX? That's done such a great job that millions of Iraqis have fled their country.
Posted by: azurite | July 01, 2007 at 12:23 PM
A further portion of the incoherence there in Iraq is not only that major chunks of the Sunni insurgents are not al Qaeda at all, but that a non-trivial part of the recent fighting has been with Shi'a, especially in Baghdad, with the US raiding Sadr City, their main stronghold there, against the express wishes of Premier al-Maliki, and also the reports that pretty much all of the bombing of the Green Zone is coming from Shi'a, which probably explains the US attack on Sadr City. Al Qaeda is strictly a Sunni outfit, and Iran helped us overthrow the radical Taliban in Afghanistan, but, hey, we rewarded them by placing them in the "Axis of Evil."
Posted by: Barkley Rosser | July 01, 2007 at 01:48 PM
Azurite: Of course if you want to colonize countries and impose your will and imperium on them you have to have enough troops to suppress their natural resistance. The US, because of the Vietnam fiasco, can't muster enough troops even to control Iraq. We are a empire manque, a would-be empire that can't get the job done. Sooner or later we'll get fatigued and fold as we did in Vietnam and as the British did vs. the Mau Mau and the Portuguese vs. their opponents in Africa. Colonialism is dead; our warmongers just haven't managed to figure that out yet. And lots more innocent people will die and money be wasted while they do.
Posted by: Hal | July 01, 2007 at 05:41 PM
Nothing like having a stupid, confused leader at the helm. Searching for "answers". Hilarious.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/07/01/AR2007070101356_pf.html
Posted by: Hal | July 01, 2007 at 10:23 PM