Taking the Temperature of the Current Financial Crisis
Yves Smith has a bigger, better, more colorful graph of the TED Spread--which has become the consensus indicator of the depth of the current financial crunch:
Grasping Reality with Both Hands
The Semi-Daily Journal of Economist Brad DeLong: A Fair, Balanced, Reality-Based, and More than Two-Handed Look at the World
J. Bradford DeLong, Department of Economics, U.C. Berkeley #3880, Berkeley, CA 94720-3880; 925 708 0467; delong@econ.berkeley.edu.
About This Website | About Brad DeLong | This Weblog | Weblog RSS feed | Brad DeLong's Egregious Moderation | Order of the Shrill | Office Hours: Evans 601, W10-12, 2-3, and by appointment, email delong@econ.berkeley.edu | Macroeconomic Policy Lectures | Economic History Lectures | Academic C.V. | John Yoo and the Torture Memo | Audio and Video
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About This Website | About Brad DeLong | This Weblog | Weblog RSS feed | Brad DeLong's Egregious Moderation | Order of the Shrill | Office Hours: Evans 601, W10-12, 2-3, and by appointment, email delong@econ.berkeley.edu | Macroeconomic Policy Lectures | Economic History Lectures | Academic C.V. | John Yoo and the Torture Memo | Audio and Video
Read the comment policy: no drive-bys, and if you bring information and humor you will be fine...
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This Semester's Teaching
- Econ 115: 20th Century Economic History
- Econ 298: History-Macro Dissertation Writers Lunch: M 12:30, Evans 601
- Econ 237: Macroeconomics Seminar: Th 2, Evans 597
- Econ 235: Financial Economics Seminar: Th 4, Haas C210
- Econ 211: Economic History Seminar: M 2, Evans 597
- Office Hours: it's summertime: by appointment in 601 Evans or at Nefeli, and by appointment (email delong@econ.berkeley.edu or call 925 708 0467)
Economics Must-Reads
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- links for 2009-07-10
- "The Short and Simple Annals of the Poor..."
- A Good Seasonally-Adjusted New Unemployment Claims Number | Reuters
- The Pivot of Global History: The Handoff from the First to the Second Industrial Revolution
- Ben Bernanke's Tenure
- David Frum Writes About the Republican Succession
- Calling All Republican Politicians...
- links for 2009-07-09
- What, Me Worry?: Few Expected Green Shoots in the Bond Market
- Republicans: The Party for People Who Don't Like Black People
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A Rising Sun
"I now know it is a rising, not a setting, sun" --Benjamin Franklin, 1787
From Brad DeLong
J. Bradford DeLong, Professor of Economics at U.C Berkeley, a Research Associate of the NBER, a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, and Chair of Berkeley's Political Economy major.
Among his best works are: "Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?" "Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare," "Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets," "Equipment Investment and Economic Growth," "Princes and Merchants: European City Growth Before the Industrial Revolution," "Why Does the Stock Market Fluctuate?" "Keynesianism, Pennsylvania-Avenue Style," "America's Peacetime Inflation: The 1970s," "American Fiscal Policy in the Shadow of the Great Depression," "Review of Robert Skidelsky (2000), John Maynard Keynes, volume 3, Fighting for Britain," "Between Meltdown and Moral Hazard: Clinton Administration International Monetary and Financial Policy," "Productivity Growth in the 2000s," "Asset Returns and Economic Growth."
- Leigh Speakers' Bureau:
The Eighteen-Year-Old is going to college next year, which means that I need to think about making more money. (The idea that one might write checks to rather than receive checks from universities is now strange to me.) So I have signed up with the Leigh Speakers' Bureau which also handles, among many others: Chris Anderson; Suzanne Berger; Michael Boskin; Kenneth Courtis; Clive Crook; Bill Emmott; Robert H. Frank; William Goetzmann; Douglas J. Holtz-Eakin; Paul Krugman; Bill McKibben; Paul Romer; Jeffrey Sachs; Robert Shiller;James Surowiecki; Martin Wolf; Adrian Wooldridge.
Graphs
- Global Warming
- The U.S. Federal Budget Deficit
- Modern Economic Growth Is a Historically Recent Phenomenon
- Escape from Malthusland
- The TED Spread Normalizes
- Recovery in the 1930s
- Stock Market: The Graham Ratio
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- GDP Growth
Egregious Moderation
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