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November 04, 2008

Time to Stop Hyperventilating...

Crappy Hour: Stop Worrying About Obama Losing Already

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Wow! That's pretty much what I want to say at work every day.

I love that pic. I get a big grin every time I see it.

Ten reasons to stop hyperventilating:

1) Obama's up by 7.5% in the final RCP average.

2) Obama's leading by 5% or more in the polling averages of states with 291 EVs: all the Kerry/Gore states, plus VA, CO, and NV.

3) He's leading by 4% or more in states with 311 EVs: everything from (2) plus Ohio.

4) Another 70 EVs' worth of states are +/- 2%: FL, MO, IN, NC, MT, ND.

5) Early voting: Dr. Michael McDonald of the Department of Public and International Affairs at George Mason University calculated the (2008 early vote)/(2004 total vote) for all the states he could get the early vote counts from. In Colorado, 2008 early voting has come to 79.3% of total 2004 voting. In Nevada, 67.6%. In North Carolina, 73.9%. In Georgia, 60.9%. In Florida, 55.9%. And nationwide, the reports are that early voters favored Obama by 16-18%. SurveyUSA said the FL early voters favored Obama by 58-38, for instance. More good stuff at MacDonald's webpage: http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

6) People with cell phones but no landlines were omitted from many polls. A bunch of them will still show up at the polls today.

7) The Best. Ground Game. Ever.

8) Droves of lawyers representing the Obama campaign in swing states around the country, to head off any attempts at illegal disenfranchisement.

9) All the voter roll purge attempts that the Obama campaign, the Dems, and other lefty groups have already beaten back.

10) This is in our hands. Today we go out and vote, and win this thing for the good guys.

check out Black Box voting's site.

Apparently there's a private vendor in New England who intends to collect the memory cards from Diebold machines the day after the election instead of thirty days after the election which could cause problems if there are questions about any of the votes cast on those machines.

I am relaxing, just trying to remain realistic.

I remember the first time I saw that pic... I loved it, I learned to stop worrying and love the bomb!

Major tragedy: Obama has apparently lost North Dakota.

There is now no way for him to win unless he wins Ohio, New Mexico, Virginia, California, Oregon, Washington, and Hawaii.

Oh; wait a minute...

The networks just agreed to pretend that CA is going to decide this election.

[And we laugh at them...]

"Major tragedy: Obama has apparently lost North Dakota."

McPhee in the New Yorker had a great piece about shipping coal from Wyoming to the southeast via train. The engineers spared no laughter on ridiculing the Kansas farmers, how do you tell a rich farmer? He has two mail boxes. Why do they bury the farmers only three feet deep? So they can stick a hand out. Whatever goes for the welfare recipients of Kansas also goes for the welfare class, white power party voters, in No Dakota.

Welcome to Blue America!

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