Drew Linzer observes Frank Newport of Gallup:
Final Result: Obama 332, Romney 206 | VOTAMATIC: Recently there have been some complaints among pollsters – most notably Gallup’s Frank Newport – that survey aggregators (like me) “don’t exist without people who are out there actually doing polls,” and that our work threatens to dissuade survey organizations from gathering these data in the first place.
And Drew gives what seems to me the wrong answer:
My view is slightly different. I’d say that working together, we’ve proven once again that public opinion research is a valuable source of information for understanding campaign dynamics and predicting election outcomes. There’s no reason why the relationship shouldn’t be one of mutual benefit, rather than competition or rivalry. In a similar manner, our analyses supplement – not replace – more traditional forms of campaign reporting. We should all be seen as moving political expertise forward, in an empirical and evidence-based way.
The right answer would have been:
Obama took the race by 3.1%. Ten days beforehand Gallup had Romney up by 7%. Please stop polluting my aggregative averages with your extraordinarily error-ridden polls.