Why is it that all the racists who show up in my Twitter feed are so very, very eager to demonstrate that they have no claim to be part of any "cognitive elite"?
"No. This Is Verbal Abuse. Argument Is Next Door..."
Why is it that all the racists who show up in my Twitter feed are so very, very eager to demonstrate that they have no claim to be part of any "cognitive elite"?
"No. This Is Verbal Abuse. Argument Is Next Door..."
Morning Must-Read: The American Prospect: "Join us for a Gala 25th Anniversary Luncheon featuring Senator Elizabeth Warren...
J. Bradford DeLong is Professor of Economics at U.C. Berkeley, and was Deputy Assistant Secretary for Economic Policy of the U.S. Treasury during the Clinton Administration. He is completing “Slouching Towards Utopia?”, an overly-long economic history of the world in the twentieth century.
He is best known for “Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets” (JPE, 1989), “Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy” (BPEA, 2012), “Did JP Morgan’s Men Add Value?” (book chapter, 1991), “The Survival of Noise Traders in Financial Markets” (JF, 1991), “America’s Peacetime Inflation: the 1970s” (book chapter, 1997), “Is Increased Price Flexibility Stabilizing?” (AER, 1986), “Speculative Microeconomics for Tomorrow’s Economy” (First Monday, 2000), “Meltdown to Moral Hazard: the International Monetary and Financial Policies of the Clinton Administration” (book chapter, 2001), “Have Productivity Levels Converged? Productivity Growth, Convergence, and Welfare in the Very Long Run” (AER, 1989), and “Should We Fear Deflation?” (BPEA, 1989).
Comment of the Day: Graydon: Internet Media and the Fall of GigaOm: The Honest Broker for the Week of March 15, 2015 (Brad DeLong's Grasping Reality...): "Mentor's visualization is missing that there's no feedback in favour of reader value...
Sokrates: Internet Media and the Fall of GigaOm
Adeimantos: What? Are you now intellectually flirting with both Hinduism and techno-transhumanism?
Felix Salmon: I told you so. If I may quote myself:
...happened in about 72 hours, and involved tweeting. It goes something like this:
Over at Medium: Tap... Tap... Tap...
Is this thing on? I guess it is...
So: very, very happy that the other people here think that I am potentially of high-enough quality to have invited me to be here as an editor. That is very flattering indeed--for they are a very, very good group.
I am very happy not just to be invited but to actually be part of this speculation. Obviously, Medium founders Ev Williams and Biz Stone are NET.GODS of quintessential degree, and the Medium team they have assembled is very good. And there is a chance that something like Medium is the future of the public sphere in the internet age, not just to separate the informational wheat from the chaff but to grow the informational wheat and bake it into...
This metaphor has run away with me...
**Help us, @Ev Kenobi! You are our only hope!
Why do I find it such an enormous pain-in-the-@## to aggregate and curate Twitter in any useful way?
Is there some magic internet tool that everybody has access to that I have somehow escaped learning about?
For example: Over on Twitter this morning I note two things:
First, Journalism School:
Ah. Crossing my desk today, two intersecting streams. The first is unpacking a stray box and finding in it a copy of NBER Working Paper 12398...
Back in 2004, you see, George W. Bush's Council of Economic Advisers, headed by Greg Mankiw, released its 2004 Economic Report of the President--and immediately found the reporters of Washington enthusiastically throwing a low-tech necktie party, with the Bush CEA as the center of attention. In 2006 Greg and Phil Swagel wrote a good retrospective:
over offshore outsourcing connected with the release of the Economic Report of the President (ERP) in February 2004, examines the differing ways in which economists and non-economists talk about offshore outsourcing, and assesses the empirical evidence on the importance of offshore outsourcing in accounting for the weak labor market from 2001 to 2004...
In their 2004 Economic Report of the President, Greg and company made three points with respect to outsourcing, of which I count two and a half as likely correct:
J. Bradford DeLong on March 10, 2015 at 08:27 AM in Economics: Growth, Economics: Inequality, Information: Better Press Corps/Journamalism, Information: Internet, Moral Responsibility, Obama Administration, Political Economy, Politics, Streams: Across the Wide Missouri, Streams: Economics, Streams: Equitable Growth, Streams: Highlighted, Weblogs | Permalink | Comments (8)
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Glaukon: So: Blogging...
Hypatia: I would like to start by offering the floor to the Great and Good Felix Salmon:
Felix Salmon: To All the Young Journalists Asking for Advice...: I’m also very flattered by the lovely things you said... about how you’d love to have a career in journalism... do[ing] the kind of thing... I do. You won’t.... By the time you’re my age... you’ll... be doing something... nobody today... foresee[s]....The obstacles facing you are much greater than anything I managed to overcome.... The exact same forces which are good for journalism and good for owners are the forces which are bad for journalists....
J. Bradford DeLong on March 04, 2015 at 12:52 PM in Economics: Information, Information: Internet, Long Form, Philosophy: Moral, Political Economy, Politics, Science: Cognitive, Streams: Economics, Streams: Highlighted, Streams: The Honest Broker, Web/Tech, Weblogs | Permalink | Comments (5)
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Nils: Breaking the Web: "The Deane Barker column was touching...
...in its sincerity and simplicity. Of course mobile apps break the web, are isolated from each other, and do not link to anything. You are supposed to PAY for them, not GET them for FREE. Welcome to the Market Based Universe.
Sixteen years ago I was told that I really needed to consult and hire a "web designer". Eight years ago I was told I needed to consult and hire a "web content management system wrangler".
Now I am being told I need to consult and hire a "web content strategist".
What is a "web content strategist"?
Wikipedia: Vir illustris - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia: "The title vir illustris ('illustrious man') is used...
...as a formal indication of standing in late antiquity to describe the highest ranks within the senates of Rome and Constantinople. All senators had the title vir clarissimus ('very famous man'); but from the mid fourth century onwards, vir illustris and vir spectabilis ('admirable man', a lower rank than illustris) were used to distinguish holders of high office....
the story… in the print edition, asked, ‘Can a white male liberal critique the country’s current political-correctness craze (which, by the way, hurts liberals most)? We’re sure you’ll let us know.’ This was my editors’ playful way to provocatively anticipate the firestorm the piece would set off.
I read the phrase ‘playful way to provocatively anticipate the firestorm’ as an unsubtle euphemism for ‘calculated strategy to turn the troll-dial from 10 to 11.’ This was a piece that Chait’s editors (and, one presumes, Chait) knew would get an outraged reaction, and presumably wanted to get an outraged reaction. In other words, it was an exercise in trolling.
Many, many are saying complimentary things. From Sullivan himself comes a much worth-reading self pat-on-the-back about what he regards as his many, many successes intermixed with a cri de coeur about his mistakes in The Arc Of The Dish 2000-2015. IMHO, he pulls a number of punches in his self-criticism, but "my own traumatized loss of judgment... shameful outbursts... my colossal failure of judgment..." is much further than most people go.
Sullivan asks: "What was your favorite moment of Dishness?".
My answer is that when I think of The Dish, I find I don't have a favorite moment. I think of the incompleteness of Andrew Sullivan's self-criticism. I think of him casting himself as Curly of The Three Stooges in his enthusiastic prosecution of the intellectual War on Paul Krugman that, IIRC, began in 2001 with things like:
November 13, 2001: My revulsion at Paul Krugman’s increasingly hysterical attacks on the good faith of this administration...
May 11, 2001: NOSTRADAMUS AWARD: “Ah, but the details. The Krugmans and the Chaits will shortly have a cow, if not a whole herd of them.”... last week. “The Bush Tax Cut Is A Lie--Part I”--by Paul Krugman, The New Republic, this week. “The Bush Tax Cut Is A Lie--Part II”--by Jonathan Chait, The New Republic, same issue. Honest, I had no idea when I wrote my piece.
And, of course, the promises of and forecasts by the Bush administration of the consequences of passing its tax cut did not come true--and if Andrew Sullivan thought in 2001 that it was aimed at improving the lives of "waitress moms", he was the only one.
But the fact that, in general in the 2000s, Paul Krugman was right did not keep Sullivan from continuing to carry on his long, doomed, twilight struggle against realistic assessments of the economic situation. For example:
JUN 21, 2010: The Smug Condescension Of Paul Krugman: Kinsley takes aim:
Krugman himself looks at CBO projections of deficits declining from 10 percent of GDP now to four percent in 2014 before starting to rise again, and concedes that this is 'not enough.' Then he cavalierly says that all you need to solve the problem is (a) to bring health costs under control, and (b) a five-percent value added tax. Oh, is that all? I have no doubt that if Paul Krugman were economic dictator, we could impose these or other solutions. In the real world (or should I say 'unreal world') of current American politics, either one of these partial solutions is unthinkable without a catastrophic crisis to force our hand.
How hard is that to understand?
Well, Paul Krugman's forecast of what would happen to the deficit was correct. We have--at least for now--health-care costs under control without a catastrophic crisis. Not a value-added tax but a carbon tax is definitely on the agenda for 2021 if not 2017. Tuesday night George W. Bush's first Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Glenn Hubbard, was speaking besides me and pushing for not a value-added but for the enormous broadening of the tax base that comes from a shift to a consumption tax. And this morning Republican Committee Chairs Burr, Hatch, and Upton called for moving an ever-increasing share of the cost of employer-sponsored health insurance into the tax base as well.
Looks to me--just like back in 2001--like Krugman 3, Kinsley and Sullivan 0.
And it is not as though that piece is an outlier. A quick search through the Dish's archives for most recent mentions of Krugman pulls up these recent headlines:
The "Dick Morris Award" is not complimentary. And somehow I think "Krugman and Frum, Together At Last" is intended to be as uncomplimentary as Sullivan's November 2001 rhetorical attribution to Paul of a disordered womb was intended to be.
My bottom line: Dean Wormer and Spiderman did not say: great rhetorical powers and influence used irresponsibly is no way to go through life...
Elizabeth Stoker Bruenig: The Economist Magazine Is Wrong About Welfare's Impact on Family http://www.newrepublic.com/article/120929/economist-magazine-wrong-about-welfares-impact-family
Rebecca Traister: Maternity Leave Policies in America Hurt Working Moms http://www.newrepublic.com/article/120939/maternity-leave-policies-america-hurt-working-moms
Jeet Heer: The New Republic's Legacy on Race: From Du Bois to the Bell Curve http://www.newrepublic.com/article/120884/new-republics-legacy-race
I am impressed!
Time to subscribe to the New New Republic, people...
Over on Twitter: Reflections in Tweets on Ezra Klein: What Andrew Sullivan's exit says about the future of blogging--an attempt to use Twitter to show how and why Twitter can and cannot be used for the conversational dialogue rather than the social-viral web.
Aggregated below the fold:
It is a true fact that Jon Chait's extremely ill-advised New York Magazine article crossed my desk at the same moment that I was watching this equally ill-advised piece by Meg Perrett and Rodrigo Kazuo go by. They try to condemn an eight-person classical moral-philosopher reading list for various sins against leftism1. The interesting thing is that they get no traction whatsoever, even though they are here at the University of California Berkeley at what Jonathan Chait imagines to be the hotbed of American crazy leftism.
Belle Waring administers the smackdown:
Dear Tampa Airport: Protip: Have a script that checks to be sure your wifi network is not currently wedged before you broadcast the announcement of free wifi over the public address system...
...announced that it is exploring jettisoning its struggling PC business in favor of investing more heavily in software, where it sees better potential for growth. Meanwhile, Google plans to buy up the cellphone handset maker Motorola Mobility. Both moves surprised the tech world. But both moves are also in line with a trend I've observed, one that makes me optimistic about the future growth of the American and world economies, despite the recent turmoil in the stock market.
In short, software is eating the world.
Can someone please tell me why my computer keeps trying to join ATTWiFi rather than AirBears?
...that will push that 1% up to 20% or so and that 10% up to 70% or so' What do you think these experiences ARE, Brad, that the experience machine needs to deliver?
If the experiences are things like:
compelled daily structure--you are expected to wake up at this time, go to classes at this time, spend this time reading
social pressure--everyone around you is behaving the same way. And while some frats at some party schools may be truly atrocious, one hopes that at most schools, most of the time, the expected norm is that you will be spending a limited amount of time watching TV, getting drunk, and chasing tail; and deviating too far from that norm will get people to look down on you and scorn you.
It seems unlikely that any MOOC can enforce either of these very well...
Over at Equitable Growth: The Financial Times has regrouped, reconfigured, and relaunched what was its A-List, now calling it "Exchange". When I first saw the title "A-List", I was envious--it seemed so perfectly right.
So now that it has been abandoned, I am going to pick up. the name. I am going to set up my own A-List by asking: what, in my view, was the Washington Center for Equitable Growth's A-List of people to pay attention to in the fall of 2014? What things I read led me to say "this is a must-read!" and "this is about 'equitable growth'"?
As with all revealed-preference exercises, there is no thought behind the list. READ MOAR
...went on sale a little over a century ago, our founding editor Herbert Croly outlined his vision to a reporter from The New York Times:
The magazine, which is to be a weekly review of current political and social events and a discussion of the theories they involve, is to represent progressive principles, but it is to be independent of any party, or individual in politics.
From that mild-seeming statement of purpose has emerged perhaps America’s most argumentative publication—a journal brimming with strong opinions beautifully elaborated (as well as a few duds). Croly’s vision is durable (perhaps because it's vague), giving his inheritors wide latitude to both adhere to his principles and fight over the specifics.
...My first job out of college was as a junior editor for a small publication in Dublin, Ireland. When I moved back to the United States, I worked as a copy editor for a company many do not remember today called Bridge News. At the time, Bridge was one of the largest financial news providers in the world but was quickly displaced by a faster moving competitor, Bloomberg. It was the first of many times in my career when I witnessed a traditional media outlet upended by a new competitor on the landscape.
The 21-Year Old: Yes. That Piece by Ta-Nehisi Coates was really good. But I notice that you didn't link to it on your weblog. Why not?
Me: Well, I'm busy. I link to a lot of stuff. I link to a lot of his stuff. I think he is really good, but... Perhaps I fear that I think he is better than he is because of residual white liberal guilt? Perhaps I fear to be patronizing? Perhaps people will think: "He's good, but not that good, so why is DeLong..."
The 21-Year-Old: You are wrong. He is that good. Link to him more.
So here we are:
Ta-Nehisi Coates: The New Republic: An Appreciation: It is impossible to avoid the conclusion that black lives didn't matter much at all to the magazine. Last week, Franklin Foer resigned his editorship of The New Republic. A deep, if not broad, mourning immediately commenced as a number of influential writers lamented what occurred to them as the passing of a great American institution. The mourners have something of a case. TNR had a hand in the careers of an outsized number of prominent narrative and opinion journalists. I have never quite been able to judge the effect of literature or journalism on policy, but
Jamie Kirchick, who benefitted mightily in launching his career from being part of a corrupt and compliant media establishment that grasped at Martin Peretz's filthy lucre, complains about Chris Hughes:
Jamie Kirchick: The Rise and Fall of Chris Hughes and Sean Eldridge, America's Worst Gay Couple: In their elitism and sense of entitlement, they represent much of what liberals are supposed to despise. Most in the media and gay community were perfectly willing to ignore this imposture when the couple was throwing their money at the right causes and dispensing jobs to their journalist and political consultant friends. Hughes and Eldridge were beneficiaries of a corrupt and compliant media and political establishment that grasped at their filthy lucre...
No, there is not a hint of self-consciousness, self-reflection, or irony in there.
And Michael Kinsley, in a similar vein but on the other side:
Sokrates: If you wanted a focus group for the core target audience of the Old New Republic, you would look for intellectually-curious left-of-center engaged intellectuals not themselves subject-matter experts in policy and politics. And on the internet the single most concentrated slice of such people are found in the commentariat at the website http://unfogged.com. Their Ringmaster assembles such a focus group. It isn't pretty, but I do think it is an accurate picture of what has been wrought by all those liberal writers and editors who were...
Artaphernes: ...were for three decades and more willing to go the extra mile to suck up to the various and manifold bigotries of Martin Peretz and company. Isn't that what you were going to say, Sok?
Sokrates: Anyway, here are selections from the thread:
Ogged and Company: Teach Me: I've read so much blather about The New Republic's shake-up that I'm just going to skip the links and ask a simple question: in the last thirty years, what are its five best pieces of political writing?
Noah Schachtman wins the internet today:
And Julian Sanchez agrees:
Julian Sanchez: @normative on Twitter: : "Also basically my first thought... RT : 10 years later, @attackerman has a Pulitzer and @TNR is basically dead. Wow."
I continue to get great value from my $60 two-year subscription to Spencer Ackerman weekly (http://toohotfortnr.blogspot.com/).
Here are this week's highlights:
(1) Never fire your best polemicist:
With respect to:
...but I still found the story a little bit off from what I've personally experienced.... Shane mentions that she thinks the pendulum is about to swing the other direction and she envisions talking to people at legacy organizations in a few years and saying 'You're still there? Really?!?!' I'd say 'You're still there? Really?!?!' has already probably been the single most common question anyone at a legacy news organization has gotten over the previous decade. The past decade has been a relentless drumbeat of departures....
It's not a pendulum. It's a wrecking ball and it's been swinging ferociously into legacy media and carrying away the rubble for more than a decade. I frankly know nobody in the rank-and-file who isn't taking it seriously. Even within the walls of legacy organizations, the legacy skills of reporting have lost their value compared to internet skills. Maybe it comes across as dismissive--that's one way humans cope with a wide range of existential threats--but make no mistake: the emotion is fear.
But the past generation has seen a third industrial revolution, a worthy information-age successor to the first of steam, iron, cotton, and machines and to the second of internal combustion, electricity, steel, and chemicals. Not everyone, but almost everyone in the North Atlantic and many and soon most in the world, can now if they wish have a smartphone--and so gain cheap access to the universe of human knowledge and entertainment to a degree that was far beyond the reach of all but the richest of a generation ago.
The Internet Archive is hosting an Aaron Swartz Day Celebration on what would have been Aaron’s 28th birthday: November 8, 2014, from 6-10:30 pm. Although we are looking ahead, rather than dwelling on the past, this year’s theme is ‘Setting the record straight.’ Now that we have brought people together and shared information with each other, the smoke has cleared a bit, and we can clearly explain to the world exactly what Aaron actually did and did not do.
Here is a sample--ten very useful and informative takes from the past half-year or so:
Always judicious, always giving a fair shake to all the currents of thought in the Federal Reserve, to the data, and to the live and serious models of how the economy works.
Read Tim Duy, and you have a sophisticated, broad, and truly balanced understanding of what the Federal Reserve is thinking, what it is doing, why it is doing it, and what the likely outcomes of its actions are. That is a package that is very hard to find anyplace else.
It still surprises me that Tim Duy does not get significantly more airplay in the general conversational mix than he does...
We have some complaints in email from correspondents with respect to what I call "talking points", to wit, things like:
et cetera. Here is the full set
If you had asked me five years ago what iPads would be used for, I would not have said "cash registers"...
They tell me that it's $600 vs. $2000 upfront for an iPad vs. a conventional cash-register system, with similar transaction fees.
Stolen from http://unfogged.com
My quality of life is diminished by the fact that I am not a fluent reader of rot13. Is there a good online drill site?
This: "Note to Self: CBO and Part D"
OK, self-of-six-months-ago, what about the Congressional Budget Office and Medicare Part D do you want me to note?
...I've been working on a new study on the importance of diversity in game content to game players, and whether or not the game industry is able to predict this desire. Game developers can be hard to reach.... By September 25th, I basically had all the data I needed. And then I got this email: 'Hey diddle-doodle, Ms. Allaway! A heads-up: your project has been targeted for extensive "vote brigading" (possibly ranging into the tens of thousands of entries). Use that knowledge however you will. Cheers'.... I went into 8chan—the movement's current and primary forum for coordinating their efforts—and found a discussion on a 'secret developer survey,' referring to my questions.... In under four hours, the developer survey jumped from around 700 responses, which had been collected over the course of a month, to over 1100 responses. The responses were not... subtle.... It appeared that less than 5 percent of the new responses had actually come from developers.... Responses like this.... I set about locking down accounts, emailing professors, contacting campus safety, and calling family. It was an exhausting process, but I considered it necessary. The attack could get out of hand.... If you're even asking about equality or diversity in games, being shouted down in a traumatizing manner is now a mandatory step that you have to sit back and endure. But I don't hate #Gamergate for what they've done to me. I'm a researcher; my goal is to analyze and to understand. And after two weeks of backtracking through the way they've carried out their operations, this is the conclusion I've reached: #Gamergate, as we know it now, is a hate group...
Daniel Davies again:
Daniel Davies: D-squared Digest -- FOR bigger pies and shorter hours and AGAINST more or less everything else: The D-Squared Digest One Minute MBA - Avoiding Projects Pursued By Morons 101: "Literally people have been asking me...
..."How is it that you were so amazingly prescient about Iraq? Why is it that you were right about everything at precisely the same moment when we were wrong?" No honestly, they have. I'd love to show you the emails I've received, there were dozens of them, honest. Honest. Anyway, I note that "errors of prewar planning" is now pretty much a mainstream stylised fact, so I suspect that it might make some small contribution to the commonweal if I were to explain how it was that I was able to spot so early that this dog wasn't going to hunt. I will struggle manfully with the savage burden of boasting, self-aggrandisement and ego-stroking that this will necessarily involve. It's been done before, although admittedly by a madman in the process of dying of syphilis of the brain.
Sorry, where was I?
Nieman Storyboard: "In what might be the only performance of Texas stand-up comedy about narrative writing...
...Vanity Fair writer Bryan Burrough recently offered practical tips for long-form storytelling to a Mayborn Conference audience. Prior to his magazine career, Burrough spent several years reporting for The Wall Street Journal; he has also written five books, including Public Enemies and Barbarians at the Gate. In these excerpts from his talk, Burrough addresses the best transition word ever, presents his strategy for avoiding writer’s block, and reminds you that “your words are not nearly as great as you think they are.”