20140402 Econ 2 Problem Set 5.pdf
A.Suppose that it is December 2020, current forecasts are for a year-2022 level of real GDP of $19.5 trillion without policy changes. Suppose further that you have just moved to Washington to work for the newly-chosen President-Elect as Special Assistant to the Chief Economist of the Office of Management and Budget. Suppose still further that the short-term safe interest rates the Federal Reserve controls are still very close to zero and that the Federal Reserve has promised to keep them very close to zero until at least 2023. Suppose still further that risk spreads on interest rates of different assets are at normal levels.